Jordan Times
Monday, May 23, 2005

'People power' on the rise in the Middle East — WEF panelists
By staff reporters
 

DEAD SEA — Democratic change in the Middle East was high on the agenda of officials and experts on the second day of the World Economic Forum.

Recent events such as the January elections in Palestine and Iraq, popular mobilisation in Lebanon, constitutional changes in Egypt, and legal amendments granting Kuwaiti women the right to vote, as recently as last week, provided much food for thought to participants from the Western and Arab worlds.

Panellists in an afternoon session dedicated to assessing democratisation across the region agreed that “people power” is on the rise in the Middle East.

They also agreed that this was due to a combination of circumstantial events, such as the deaths of Lebanese PM Rafiq Hariri and Palestinian President Yasser Arafat, as well as external and domestic pressures.

UN Assistant Secretary General Rima Khalaf said recent developments towards liberalisation could be attributed to a general realisation that “the status quo is no longer sustainable.”

Amongst the factors that prompted such realisation, Khalaf, who is also director of the regional bureau for Arab states at the UN Development Programme, cited the 9/11 terror attacks, US presence in the region — as an instrument of pressure on countries reluctant to introduce reforms — and what she termed as “a metastasis of terrorism.”

All these factors prompted Arab regimes and decision makers to embrace new courses, she suggested.

“For the regimes, the choice was between sharing some of the power or keeping it all,” she said. “Now, their new choice is between sharing some of their power or losing it all.”

Granted that a fresh momentum for reform and wider political participation has permeated the region, panellists differed as to what extent this was due to external pressures — mainly US policies and more or less vested interests — or genuine internal dynamics.

In Iraq, the people seized the momentum created by US intervention, said Iraqi Foreign Minister Hoshiyar Zebari, reiterating that the Iraqi political process is geared towards the building of an “open, tolerant society” and the establishment of a “responsible and accountable” government.

Jacob Zuma, deputy president of South Africa, said a combination of external and internal interests since the end of the cold war brought about calls for more democracy across the globe and in the Middle East.

Referring to the experience of the South Africans' fight against the apartheid regime, Zuma highlighted the importance of clear political platforms at the inception of a political process.

“In South Africa, we were able to put the country's interests above those of this or that ethnic group,” he said. This could be achieved thanks to the fact that, in the South African political process, public debate started from political issues and only later to the drafting of a constitution, which was therefore the end-goal, and not the starting point, of the process.

“We didn't start from the constitution, but from a discussion on political issues,” Zuma said, in a not-so-veiled contraposition with the way the Iraqi political process is being structured.

“We knew external influence was there, but we knew it would not go to the extent of dictating our direction and tempo,” he added.

Elizabeth Cheney, US principal deputy assistant secretary for near eastern affairs, spoke in defence of US policies in the region.

“We are at a truly historic moment in the Middle East and North Africa, a moment that is giving a lot of people tremendous hope in the future,” she said.

She said President George W. Bush operated a drastic shift in US foreign policy, fostering change rather than protecting the status quo, and reverting a course that had characterised US policies for 60 years.


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