1. About (58%) of the respondents believe the US will attack Iraq whereas nearly one fourth (24%) of them believe it will not. About (17%) said they don’t know.
2. Of those who thought that the strike against Iraq is forthcoming, a large proportion (61%) believes that the US will launch war on its own. About (30%) of the interviewees thought that the military attack will happen under a Security Council mandate.
3. The respondents gave different explanations for the American motives of such strike.

• According to a great majority (83%) of the Jordanians, the US wants to control Iraq’s oil, but (8%) do not concur with this view, and another (8%) said they are not certain or they don’t know.
• To another large proportion (63%) of Jordanians, the reason for the possible US attack is that Iraq presents a threat to Israel. This opinion is not shared by (27%) of the respondents, and about (10%) of the sample said they are not sure.
• About (28%) of the Jordanians think that the motive for a possible US attack is Iraq’s possession of weapons of mass destruction. For (61%) of the sample, however, this argument does not hold water, and (10%) said they are not certain.
• On the other hand, only a small proportion (11%) believe that the aim of the US hit, if it happens, will be to spread democracy in the Arab World, but a large majority (74%) do not accept this view, while (10%) report that they don’t know.
• Those who believe that the US will launch war because of Iraq’s connection with Bin Laden’s Al-Qaeda organization represent only a small minority (9%) of the Jordanians do not think so. Over three-quarters (76%) of the interviewees do not concur and (14%) say they are not certain about this point.

0. In case Iraq is hit, virtually all the national sample (98%) fears the adverse repercussions of the war on Jordan.
1. The adverse impact, as perceived by (53%) of the Jordanians, will be economic, and political (16%), social and psychological (15%). The negative consequences, to (6%) of the respondents, will be in the area of security and stability and to (5%) in the demographic aspects in view of the possible increase in the influx of refugees, and at the health and environment level (2%).
2. In the event of a strike against Iraq, Jordan, according to (69%) of the interviewees, will not extend support to the US-led alliance. (10%) said Jordan will provide such facilities, but (20%) of the respondents said they don’t know.
3. On the other hand, the greatest majority of Jordanians (88%) showed their opposition to providing facilities to such attack, (9%) said they don’t know and (2%) declined an answer to this question. Only (2%) of the interviewees said Jordan should extend assistance to a military strike.

Center for Strategic Studies, University of Jordan (January 2003)